Is There a Bubble?
Nearly a full third of households
are still renting....but if you are one of them, you could
be paying a hefty price. All the talk of the 'housing bubble'
in recent years has led many to put off purchasing a home.
In reality, there isn't a housing bubble.
The real key to a healthy housing market is the job market,
not interest rates like we are often led to believe. While
an increase in interest rates may affect a monthly mortgage
payment, it is likely not significant enough to deter someone
from buying the home of their dreams. However, if someone
feels their job is in jeopardy, it would likely impact their
decision to purchase a home. That being said, Colorado is
projected to have a 2.9% job growth in 2006 ~the 3 highest
in the nation. In addition, we are projected to have a moderate
home appreciation of 5.9% in Colorado this year. Although
some gains in recent years may start to cool down, price
declines are highly unlikely in these areas and it will
not impact us.
|
BUY
vs. RENT |
|
Cost of Renting |
|
Financial Benefits |
|
Monthly Rent |
$ |
1,500 |
|
Equity in Home |
$ |
20,500 |
|
Annual Rent Increase |
|
5% |
|
5% Annual Appreciation |
$ |
83,000 |
|
Total Cost for 5 Years |
$ |
99,500 |
|
Total Financial
Benefit |
$ |
103,500 |
| |
|
Cost of Owning |
|
Overall Benefit
of Purchase |
|
Home Price |
$ |
300,000 |
|
Total Rent Cash Flow |
$ |
99,500 |
|
Monthly Payment* |
$ |
2,100 |
|
Equity in Home |
+$ |
20,500 |
| |
|
|
|
Home Appreciation |
+$ |
83,000 |
|
Total Cost: 5 Years |
$ |
125,500 |
|
Housing Expenses |
-$ |
125,500 |
|
Tax Credit for Interest |
$ |
22,500 |
|
Tax Credit |
+$ |
22,500 |
|
Cost after Credit |
$ |
103,000 |
|
Benefit of Purchase |
$ |
100,000 |
|
*Monthly payment
includes payment, interest, taxes & insurance |
|
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The Cost of Renting
So what is the actual cost of
waiting to buy that new home? Let's look at the example
above of a Rent vs. Buy scenario over a 5 year period. The
cost to rent is almost $100,000! The cost to own a home
over that same time period is only $3,500 more after a tax
credit (This scenario assumes a 25% tax bracket). This is
equal to about $67 a week or $9.60 a day. In addition, the
equity you build when you purchase a home combined with
the average annual appreciation of 5% is equal to $103,500
over a 5 year time frame! When all is said and done, 5 years
from now you'll have $100,000 more in net worth if you purchase
rather than rent.
Let Uncle Sam Help
If laying out the initial increase
in monthly payment and having to wait for your tax benefit
to show up next April is a tough nut to crack, the IRS wants
to help. Instead of waiting to file for the tax benefits
you derive from your new home purchase, you can simply adjust
the amount of your with-holding. This allows you to have
less tax withheld from each paycheck so you can handle the
new mortgage payment more comfortably throughout the year.
In essence, you are taking your tax refund as you go instead
of letting Uncle Sam hold it all year, interest free! Visit
www.irs.gov and search for the IRS withholding calculator.
This handy tool can quickly show you the effect a change
in withholding will do to your net paycheck. Remember to
balance this with the expected refund and check with your
tax advisor.
Don't be victimized by the bubble hype. Buying a home is
a big step, but it is almost always one in the right direction!
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